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Abstract

The tepid economy is giving rise to a new breed of career changer. Unlike the job hoppers of the late 1990s who fled traditional businesses for uncertain dot-com riches, today's career switchers are professionals in search of a sure thing.

Rattled by the economic turmoil of recent years, these beleaguered workers are leaving industries shaken by layoffs for careers where the prospects are more secure, even if the pay is not as generous.

Survivors of failed start-ups are launching their own businesses, where they can set their hours instead of worrying about being laid off. Even owners of businesses in hard-hit industries, who once earned six-figure incomes, are closing shop to become school teachers. The housing boom is drawing recruits to take jobs as loan officers and real estate agents.

Employees are increasingly finding they must switch industries to find jobs -- 85% of workers undergoing a career transition did so in 2002, up 11% from the prior year, according to a survey of nearly 6,000 employees by New York-based human resource consultants DBM. In this tough job market, 52% of those who found new employment took a reduction in pay, with an average cut of roughly 10%.

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Career changers are giving rise to more free agents -- entrepreneurs or contractors working for themselves instead of an employer. Those who have marketable skills might feel being on their own is more secure than surviving the mercurial swings of the economy, experts say.

Others have been forced out of work and turned to consulting or similar jobs because they can't find employment elsewhere. They struggle with higher insurance costs and uncertainty about where their next assignment will come from. The number of such free agents (defined as temporary contract workers, freelancers, independent professionals and consultants) has more than doubled since 1980, to an estimated 30 million, according to a June study by Troy, Mich.-based staffing provider Kelly Services. That's a 25% jump since 1998.

''People are going to the safer jobs that were so unsexy in the dot-com era. The post-2000 era, it's back to basics,'' says Samantha Ettus, president of New York-based Ettus Media Management, which provides career strategy services. ''The trend is to go (with) what's safe.''

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Seeking a secure job

The search for safer ground is a driving factor for career changers such as Jon Kravitz of Beachwood, Ohio. Hit by slumping demand, he filed for bankruptcy protection and closed his steel-processing plant in September of 2001. Now, he's back in school studying to be a teacher, and already has taught a reading class as a student instructor to ninth- and 10th-graders.

Instead of operating cranes and unloading trucks, Kravitz, 48, teaches vocabulary words to teens. The pay is less than the six-figure income he used to bring home, but now he feels he's got a solid future; employment of teachers in special education, preschool, kindergarten and elementary school is expected to increase 37% from 234,000 in 2000 to 320,000 in 2010, according to the Department of Labor.

''I had to make a career change. I felt the steel industry was too unstable. I could have gotten another steel industry job, but I would have been out of work in a year or two,'' says Kravitz. ''After making six figures for many years, it's different. But there is real demand for teachers, especially male teachers.''

There are advantages, such as summers off with his wife, Kim, 54, a guidance counselor. And as the parent of two college-age children, Kravitz also reasons that he's got some hands-on experience.

Industries seen as booming despite the anemic economy include professional jobs (such as those in the health care, education and computer and mathematical fields). Those areas are expected to see a 26% increase -- adding 6.9 million jobs -- from 2000 to 2010, according to Department of Labor projections.

Employment in service occupations is projected to increase by 5.1 million, or 19.5%. Health care support occupations are expected to grow 33.4%, adding 1.1 million new jobs. Computer software engineers are expected to add 380,000 jobs by 2010, and medical assistants jobs should grow by 187,000. Registered nurses will add 561,000 jobs, a 26% jump over 2000. Truck drivers, security guards, accountants and auditors all will be in demand.

Occupations with the biggest decreases are in office and administrative support and jobs such as order clerks and tellers, which have been hit hard by increased automation.

 

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Meaningful work crucial

For those in search of more secure jobs, here's what's in: jobs that allow more work/life balance; work that is meaningful and enjoyable; benefit coverage; good relationships with managers and co-workers; and trustworthy employers. What's out: Jobs that deliver quick payoffs but no long-term security.

''A lot of the guys we deal with, they took jobs in the late '90s for the dot-com payoff. When the economy got tough, most of them never had any energy or passion for it,'' says Bob Lambert in Irvine, Calif., managing partner at executive search firm Christian & Timbers. ''The economy is forcing more people to face reality. It becomes the catalyst for change.''

Marshall Longtin, 33, of Green Lake, Wash., used to crave the high-tech payoff. For a decade, he worked in the tech industry, partly in management and telecom sales. Then the dot-com boom went bust.

In March of 2002, he left his job, feeling he needed safer ground, and turned to real estate. Longtin bought some investment properties that he began refurbishing and renting, then decided to take a 60-hour training course to get a real estate license. He finished in April and has sold several homes as an agent for zipRealty.

''I found what I should have been doing all along,'' Longtin says. ''But the money in the tech sector was great, and I wouldn't have left it if it hadn't dried up. Now, I'd never go back.''

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Risks of career switching

Not everyone is so lucky. Some career counselors and executive recruiters say hopscotching can lead to ''professional rebound,'' the career equivalent of dating rebound. Downsized employees are so worried about job insecurity, they leap to new industries they don't love. What they think is a safety net becomes a trap.

Career counselors also say it's easy to underestimate the financial and personal costs of making a drastic move. Returning to school or training for a different profession can cost tens of thousands of dollars, plus a time commitment of months or years.

Executives who once earned top dollars can find themselves at the bottom rung of the pay ladder, competing with younger workers who command smaller salaries but might not have the same debt loads or family responsibilities. Slightly less than half of career-transitioning employees got the same or higher pay in new jobs, the DBM study says. It can also be an ego blow, experts say, to be the new ''kid,'' working for a boss who might be fresh out of school.

''You can do it in the late 30s or early 40s, but if you wait much longer, you're perceived as too old,'' says David Theobald, CEO and co-founder of Netshare.com, an online job listing and career resource site for executives earning $100,000 and up. ''For those earning $150,000 and up, it's much more difficult to make a career move. You're going to have to work very hard to make it happen.''

Returning to school or doing some sort of apprenticeship is frequently necessary, and career changes are one reason that universities and colleges are seeing an enrollment boom. The number of students age 35 and older in degree-granting institutions has soared from about 823,000 in 1970 to an estimated 2.9 million in 2001 -- doubling from 9.6% of total students to 19.2%, according to the National Center for Education Statistics.

For John Philbin, 38, an economy-driven career transformation has meant going back to school and sacrificing financially -- at least for now. Philbin, of University Heights, Ohio, was laid off in September 2002 from his job in manufacturing sales. While he knew the business well, he was convinced there had to be a more secure career alternative that he would enjoy more. The father of two (Maggie, 5, and Jack, 4) is attending Notre Dame College in South Euclid, Ohio, studying to become a teacher in preschool through third grade.

Every week, he passes up golf outings with friends to study topics such as the role of phonics in reading. He goes to the library to study instead of having extra time with his kids. It's a bit intimidating, Philbin says, because he was never a good student and wasn't sure what it would be like to be one of the oldest in the class.

''I have 30 years left to work. Male teachers are pretty scarce in every grade, so that's a bonus for me. I'll be in demand,'' Philbin says. ''And I want to be a role model for my own children. I don't want them to see me work hard in a job I can't stand just to put food on the table.''

The investment of time and money in retraining can pay off. Sam DeBord, 26, was a tech consultant for PricewaterhouseCoopers until he lost his job in 2001. He did a few odd jobs, such as teaching Web design, before settling on a new career: working as a loan officer. Because of the refinancing craze, DeBord has never been busier or in more demand.

''With the downturn in the economy, this is one area that's picking up,'' says DeBord of San Diego. ''Business is crazy, mortgage companies are hiring as fast as they can. It's very secure.''

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Entrepreneurship rising

Career changes driven by economic turmoil can also be a catalyst for entrepreneurship. The Small Business Administration's Office of Advocacy reports that the number of sole proprietorships climbed from 17.5 million in 2000 to 18.3 million in 2002. While starting a business is a gamble in a lackluster economy, it can often seem like a more secure option to workers who believe they have marketable skills. It can also represent greater individual freedom and a chance to follow a career passion.

''So many times, people take the jobs that fell into their lap, that had a lucrative (pay) package or were jobs their family thought they were supposed to take,'' says Rebecca Zucker, who runs Next Step Partners, a San Francisco-based organization that focuses on career strategies. ''They haven't had a chance to ask, 'What have I always wanted to do in my life?' ''

Kevin Quaintance, 35, had the answer to that question. He wanted to launch a company.

Quaintance moved to Silicon Valley from Los Angeles in 1999 to join the dot-com gold rush. But the riches never came. Instead, he joined a succession of start-ups that went belly-up. In August 2002, he lost his job as director of operations when his Internet firm -- his third employer since moving -- ran out of funding.

Unable to find another job, Quaintance decided to take control and in December 2002 started his own wireless service company, Authdirect, which he runs from his garage. He now has 10 customers and monthly income.

Quaintance admits it's a risk, but he says that having more control by running his own company might actually be more of a sure thing than joining yet another floundering start-up.

''This is my company, and I control the destiny. Before, I was one of the employees, and I didn't have any control,'' says Quaintance of San Jose, Calif. His son, Austin, is 8 months old. ''And I can spend more time with Austin, I can help watch him during the day. If I was working 8 a.m. to 6 p.m., I'd miss out on that.''


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